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House: 218 Republicans, 214 Democrats, 1 independent, 2 vacant; 218 seats needed for control. Senate: 53 Republicans, 47 Democrats (the Democratic total includes 2 independents who caucus with Democrats). Election Day is November 3, 2026.
Ratings come from the Cook Political Report, Sabato's Crystal Ball and Inside Elections on the seven-point scale from Solid D to Solid R. A rating on this board moves only when Cook and Sabato agree. poliboards is not a forecaster and is not affiliated with any of them.
| State | Incumbent | Open seat | Rating | Challenger |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Tommy Tuberville (R) | Yes | Solid R | Steve Marshall (R primary) |
| Alaska | Dan Sullivan (R) | No | Toss-up | Mary Peltola (D) |
| Arkansas | Tom Cotton (R) | No | Solid R | Dan Whitfield (D) |
| Colorado | John Hickenlooper (D) | No | Solid D | Mark Baisley (R) |
| Delaware | Chris Coons (D) | No | Solid D | |
| Florida | Ashley Moody (R) | No | Solid R | Angie Nixon (D) |
| Georgia | Jon Ossoff (D) | No | Likely D | Mike Collins (R) |
| Idaho | Jim Risch (R) | No | Solid R | Todd Achilles (I) |
| Illinois | Dick Durbin (D) | Yes | Solid D | Open D primary |
| Iowa | Joni Ernst (R) | Yes | Toss-up | Josh Turek (D) |
| Kansas | Roger Marshall (R) | No | Lean R | Adam Hamilton (D) |
| Kentucky | Mitch McConnell (R) | Yes | Solid R | Charles Booker (D) |
| Louisiana | Bill Cassidy (R) | No | Solid R | Julia Letlow (R) vs Jamie Davis (D) |
| Maine | Susan Collins (R) | No | Toss-up | Troy Jackson (D) |
| Massachusetts | Ed Markey (D) | No | Solid D | John Deaton (R) |
| Michigan | Gary Peters (D) | Yes | Toss-up | Mike Rogers (R) |
| Minnesota | Tina Smith (D) | Yes | Likely D | Michele Tafoya (R) |
| Mississippi | Cindy Hyde-Smith (R) | No | Solid R | Scott Colom (D) |
| Montana | Steve Daines (R) | Yes | Solid R | Kurt Alme (R) vs. Alani Bankhead (D) vs. Seth Bodnar (I) |
| Nebraska | Pete Ricketts (R) | No | Likely R | Dan Osborn (I) |
| New Hampshire | Jeanne Shaheen (D) | Yes | Toss-up | John E. Sununu (R) |
| New Jersey | Cory Booker (D) | No | Solid D | |
| New Mexico | Ben Ray Luján (D) | No | Solid D | |
| North Carolina | Thom Tillis (R) | Yes | Lean D | Roy Cooper (D) |
| Ohio | Jon Husted (R) | No | Toss-up | Sherrod Brown (D) |
| Oklahoma | Markwayne Mullin (R) | No | Solid R | Troy Green (D) |
| Oregon | Jeff Merkley (D) | No | Solid D | Timothy Skelton (R) |
| Rhode Island | Jack Reed (D) | No | Solid D | |
| South Carolina | Darline Graham Nordone (R) | Yes | Solid R | Annie Andrews (D) |
| South Dakota | Mike Rounds (R) | No | Solid R | |
| Tennessee | Bill Hagerty (R) | No | Solid R | |
| Texas | John Cornyn (R) | No | Toss-up | James Talarico (D) |
| Virginia | Mark Warner (D) | No | Solid D | |
| West Virginia | Shelley Moore Capito (R) | No | Solid R | Rachel Anderson (D) |
| Wyoming | Cynthia Lummis (R) | Yes | Solid R | Harriet Hageman (R primary) |
| State | Incumbent | Open seat | Rating |
|---|---|---|---|
| Alabama | Kay Ivey (R) | Yes | Solid R |
| Alaska | Mike Dunleavy (R) | Yes | Toss-up |
| Arizona | Katie Hobbs (D) | No | Lean D |
| Arkansas | Sarah Huckabee Sanders (R) | No | Solid R |
| California | Gavin Newsom (D) | Yes | Solid D |
| Colorado | Jared Polis (D) | Yes | Solid D |
| Connecticut | Ned Lamont (D) | No | Solid D |
| Florida | Ron DeSantis (R) | Yes | Likely R |
| Georgia | Brian Kemp (R) | Yes | Toss-up |
| Hawaii | Josh Green (D) | No | Solid D |
| Idaho | Brad Little (R) | No | Solid R |
| Illinois | JB Pritzker (D) | No | Solid D |
| Iowa | Kim Reynolds (R) | Yes | Lean D |
| Kansas | Laura Kelly (D) | Yes | Lean R |
| Maine | Janet Mills (D) | Yes | Likely D |
| Maryland | Wes Moore (D) | No | Solid D |
| Massachusetts | Maura Healey (D) | No | Solid D |
| Michigan | Gretchen Whitmer (D) | Yes | Lean D |
| Minnesota | Open (Walz withdrew Jan 5) (D) | Yes | Solid D |
| Nebraska | Jim Pillen (R) | No | Solid R |
| Nevada | Joe Lombardo (R) | No | Toss-up |
| New Hampshire | Kelly Ayotte (R) | No | Likely R |
| New Mexico | Michelle Lujan Grisham (D) | Yes | Solid D |
| New York | Kathy Hochul (D) | No | Solid D |
| Ohio | Mike DeWine (R) | Yes | Toss-up |
| Oklahoma | Kevin Stitt (R) | Yes | Solid R |
| Oregon | Tina Kotek (D) | No | Likely D |
| Pennsylvania | Josh Shapiro (D) | No | Solid D |
| Rhode Island | Dan McKee (D) | No | Solid D |
| South Carolina | Henry McMaster (R) | Yes | Solid R |
| South Dakota | Larry Rhoden (R) | No | Solid R |
| Tennessee | Bill Lee (R) | Yes | Solid R |
| Texas | Greg Abbott (R) | No | Likely R |
| Vermont | Phil Scott (R) | No | Solid R |
| Wisconsin | Tony Evers (D) | Yes | Toss-up |
| Wyoming | Mark Gordon (R) | Yes | Solid R |
| District | Incumbent | Rating |
|---|---|---|
| CA-21 (California) | Jim Costa (D) | Likely D |
| FL-23 (Florida) | Jared Moskowitz (D) | Likely D |
| IN-01 (Indiana) | Frank J. Mrvan (D) | Likely D |
| MI-08 (Michigan) | Kristen McDonald Rivet (D) | Likely D |
| MN-02 (Minnesota) | Angie Craig (D) | Likely D |
| NH-01 (New Hampshire) | Chris Pappas (D) | Likely D |
| NH-02 (New Hampshire) | Maggie Goodlander (D) | Likely D |
| NJ-09 (New Jersey) | Nellie Pou (D) | Likely D |
| NV-01 (Nevada) | Dina Titus (D) | Likely D |
| NV-04 (Nevada) | Steven Horsford (D) | Likely D |
| OH-13 (Ohio) | Emilia Sykes (D) | Likely D |
| VA-07 (Virginia) | Eugene Vindman (D) | Likely D |
| CA-09 (California) | Josh Harder (D) | Lean D |
| CA-13 (California) | Adam Gray (D) | Lean D |
| CA-27 (California) | George Whitesides (D) | Lean D |
| CA-45 (California) | Derek Tran (D) | Lean D |
| CA-47 (California) | Dave Min (D) | Lean D |
| CA-48 (California) | Darrell Issa (R) | Lean D |
| NE-02 (Nebraska) | Don Bacon (R) | Lean D |
| NJ-07 (New Jersey) | Thomas Kean Jr. (R) | Lean D |
| NM-02 (New Mexico) | Gabe Vasquez (D) | Lean D |
| NV-03 (Nevada) | Susie Lee (D) | Lean D |
| NY-03 (New York) | Tom Suozzi (D) | Lean D |
| NY-04 (New York) | Laura Gillen (D) | Lean D |
| NY-19 (New York) | Josh Riley (D) | Lean D |
| OH-01 (Ohio) | Greg Landsman (D) | Lean D |
| TX-28 (Texas) | Henry Cuellar (D) | Lean D |
| AZ-01 (Arizona) | David Schweikert (R) | Toss-up |
| AZ-06 (Arizona) | Juan Ciscomani (R) | Toss-up |
| CA-22 (California) | David Valadao (R) | Toss-up |
| CO-08 (Colorado) | Gabe Evans (R) | Toss-up |
| FL-14 (Florida) | Kathy Castor (D) | Toss-up |
| FL-25 (Florida) | Debbie Wasserman Schultz (D) | Toss-up |
| IA-01 (Iowa) | Mariannette Miller-Meeks (R) | Toss-up |
| IA-03 (Iowa) | Zach Nunn (R) | Toss-up |
| MI-07 (Michigan) | Tom Barrett (R) | Toss-up |
| MI-10 (Michigan) | John James (R) | Toss-up |
| NC-11 (North Carolina) | Chuck Edwards (R) | Toss-up |
| NY-17 (New York) | Mike Lawler (R) | Toss-up |
| OH-07 (Ohio) | Max Miller (R) | Toss-up |
| OH-09 (Ohio) | Marcy Kaptur (D) | Toss-up |
| PA-07 (Pennsylvania) | Ryan Mackenzie (R) | Toss-up |
| PA-08 (Pennsylvania) | Rob Bresnahan (R) | Toss-up |
| PA-10 (Pennsylvania) | Scott Perry (R) | Toss-up |
| TX-15 (Texas) | Monica De La Cruz (R) | Toss-up |
| TX-34 (Texas) | Vicente Gonzalez (D) | Toss-up |
| VA-02 (Virginia) | Jen Kiggans (R) | Toss-up |
| WA-03 (Washington) | Marie Gluesenkamp Perez (D) | Toss-up |
| WI-03 (Wisconsin) | Derrick Van Orden (R) | Toss-up |
| CO-05 (Colorado) | Jeff Crank (R) | Lean R |
| FL-22 (Florida) | Lois Frankel (D) | Lean R |
| FL-27 (Florida) | María Elvira Salazar (R) | Lean R |
| IA-02 (Iowa) | Ashley Hinson (R) | Lean R |
| MI-04 (Michigan) | Bill Huizenga (R) | Lean R |
| NC-01 (North Carolina) | Don Davis (D) | Lean R |
| TX-35 (Texas) | Greg Casar (D) | Lean R |
| VA-01 (Virginia) | Rob Wittman (R) | Lean R |
| AK-AL (Alaska) | Nick Begich III (R) | Likely R |
| AL-02 (Alabama) | Shomari Figures (D) | Likely R |
| AZ-02 (Arizona) | Eli Crane (R) | Likely R |
| CO-03 (Colorado) | Jeff Hurd (R) | Likely R |
| FL-07 (Florida) | Cory Mills (R) | Likely R |
| FL-09 (Florida) | Darren Soto (D) | Likely R |
| FL-13 (Florida) | Anna Paulina Luna (R) | Likely R |
| KY-06 (Kentucky) | Andy Barr (R) | Likely R |
| ME-02 (Maine) | Jared Golden (D) | Likely R |
| MN-01 (Minnesota) | Brad Finstad (R) | Likely R |
| MO-02 (Missouri) | Ann Wagner (R) | Likely R |
| MT-01 (Montana) | Ryan Zinke (R) | Likely R |
| NV-02 (Nevada) | Mark Amodei (R) | Likely R |
| NY-21 (New York) | Elise Stefanik (R) | Likely R |
| OH-10 (Ohio) | Mike Turner (R) | Likely R |
| OH-15 (Ohio) | Mike Carey (R) | Likely R |
| PA-01 (Pennsylvania) | Brian Fitzpatrick (R) | Likely R |
| SC-01 (South Carolina) | Nancy Mace (R) | Likely R |
| TX-09 (Texas) | Al Green (D) | Likely R |
| TX-23 (Texas) | VACANT (R) | Likely R |
| VA-05 (Virginia) | John McGuire (R) | Likely R |
| WI-01 (Wisconsin) | Bryan Steil (R) | Likely R |
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